US Opinion and Commentary

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Why Horse Race Campaign Polls Are Mostly Worthless This Far Ahead of the Voting

Posted December 2nd, 2015 at 10:11 am (UTC-4)
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It’s easy to prove that early polls are lousy at predicting the ultimate outcome in a crowded race; just look at the record.

Democrats Worry About the ‘Probable, but No Longer Inevitable’ Hillary Clinton

Posted August 19th, 2015 at 2:56 pm (UTC-4)
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Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential bid is hitting bumps in the road. Her resume is one that campaign professionals would drool over: Secretary of State, U.S. Senator, First Lady. But with the recent slow drip of details about her emailing habits as Secretary of State, combined with a history of tough media scrutiny, there is concern about her candidacy. With fellow Democratic contender Bernie Sanders nipping at her heels, party operators are asking whether she can weather the gathering storms.

Trump Courts Controversy, Becoming Republican Frontrunner

Posted July 21st, 2015 at 4:01 pm (UTC-4)
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Mexican immigrants, a widely-respected American war hero and a high-profile senator: business mogul and Republican presidential nominee contender Donald Trump has unapologetically insulted them all. Meanwhile, his popularity has soared, putting Trump ahead of all other Republican 2016 hopefuls. What’s going on here? Some observers are calling for his head. Others are praising his political acumen.