It’s easy to prove that early polls are lousy at predicting the ultimate outcome in a crowded race; just look at the record.
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Why Horse Race Campaign Polls Are Mostly Worthless This Far Ahead of the Voting
Posted December 2nd, 2015 at 10:11 am (UTC-5)
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The Nastier Donald Trump Gets, the More Some People Like Him
Posted November 28th, 2015 at 8:42 am (UTC-5)
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He’s the ultimate personification of a variety of vices (greed, intemperance, gluttony, wrath, pride) that we have embraced as a culture with the certitude of the forgiven — or of the be-damned, anyway.
Is America a Nation of Xenophobic Trumps?
Posted November 20th, 2015 at 1:14 pm (UTC-5)
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The radical proposals now being put forward by Trump (and frequently echoed in only slightly less virulent form by his rivals) would define the United States as a much less tolerant and pluralistic country, one in which an entire religion could be cast under a shroud of state-sponsored suspicion.
Debating the Debate Over Debates
Posted November 11th, 2015 at 9:52 am (UTC-5)
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All in all, since the last GOP debate, the week and a half of hand wringing over the debate process has seen all of the posturing, recrimination and in-fighting that any fan of politics could want. And with debates over debates like this, who needs actual debates?
We Need a Leader Like Ben Carson
Posted November 10th, 2015 at 10:07 am (UTC-5)
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Once president, records do not matter, but having the character to make tough decisions after being presented with options and advice from your teams does.
In 2016 Race, Voters Still Shopping for a Candidate to Love
Posted October 9th, 2015 at 8:57 am (UTC-5)
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When the choice matters that much, voters are inclined to think the best choice is the safest choice. Jeb Bush pays a heavy price for his last name, but the closer we get to Iowa and New Hampshire, the more the Bush brand will help.
Anybody but Hillary? The Case for Biden-Warren 2016
Posted September 30th, 2015 at 4:36 pm (UTC-5)
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…On a second look, I like what I’m seeing…. Along with many millions of people, I was mighty impressed by Biden’s mid-September interview with Stephen Colbert. Talking with frankness about his faith and how he’s coped with more than his share of loss in his life — in addition to the death in May of his 46-year-old son […]
What’s the Deal With Trump?
Posted September 1st, 2015 at 8:04 am (UTC-5)
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“The polls have been nothing short of tremendous,” Trump told an overflow crowd at a convention center here on August 25. This was not one of his exaggerations.
John Kasich, Nightmare for Partisans
Posted July 29th, 2015 at 10:09 am (UTC-5)
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Ohio Governor John Kasich, who on Tuesday became the latest and perhaps last major Republican figure to enter the presidential race, may well be the Democratic Party’s worst nightmare. The question is whether he is also a nightmare for Republican primary voters.
Is Scott Walker Ignorant by Choice?
Posted July 21st, 2015 at 10:49 am (UTC-5)
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The man is running for president of the United States. He is governor of the state of Wisconsin. He is a husband and a father and a former Boy Scout, and yet he cannot say — or he will not say — whether he thinks being gay is a choice.
Scott Walker Looks to Make Himself in Reagan’s Image
Posted July 20th, 2015 at 2:29 pm (UTC-5)
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An avowed “Reagan Republican,” some have pinned their hopes of a less fractious and more moderate party on Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker, who has joined the 2016 Republican primary race. Others call him an “ultra-conservative.” Either way, Walker has already been accused of flip-flopping on controversial issues like immigration and gays in the Boy Scouts.
The Hillary Paradox
Posted June 19th, 2015 at 3:59 pm (UTC-5)
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The Hillary Paradox consists of two perceptions that are irreconcilable. The first is that Hillary Clinton is a person of uncommon decency, compassionate and deeply committed to justice. The second is that many of her actions over many years are the work of a person who couldn’t possibly be uncommonly decent.
Jeb Enters the Republican Presidential Pack
Posted June 15th, 2015 at 12:11 pm (UTC-5)
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We continue our series on the 2016 presidential candidates with the official entry of presumed Republican front-runner and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush. If he wins his party’s nomination and the race to the White House, he would be the third Bush to inhabit the Oval Office. But his surname comes with a price, observers say, pointing to his official logo “Jeb!”
What If Trump Is the Nominee?
Republican Senate candidates are wrestling with that possibility—and with the uncomfortable tensions within their party that it has exposed.